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Ternopil Ivan Puluj National Technical University

Факультет економіки та менеджменту

Кафедра менеджменту та адміністрування

Economic Forecasting

syllabus

Major 073 - Менеджмент (бакалавр)
Field of knowledge 7 Управління та адміністрування
Academic degree bachelor's
Course
Course type required
special education
Study start course 4
Semesters 7
Form of education full-time
Study hours structure
32– lectures
32– practical classes
Amount of hours for individual work 71
ECTS credits 4
Form of final examination exam
Lecturer
Academic degree Cand. Sc.
Academic title Assoc. Prof.
Full name Кужда Тетяна Іванівна
Course goals and learning objectives
Purpose of the “Economic forecasting” is forming the student’s interest in producing the qualitative and quantitative forecasts based on time series, econometric models and judgmental methods; in using various auxiliary analytical tools, in examining recent data and assessing the forecasts accuracy 
Course description
Lectures Topic 1. Introduction to economic forecasting
Topic 2. Forecasting based on analytical indicators of time series
Topic 3. Forecasting based on average methods
Topic 4. Trend forecasting
Topic 5. Trend forecast estimation
Topic 6. Forecasting with seasonality
Topic 7. Simple exponential smoothing method
Topic 8. Double exponential smoothing method
Topic 9. Forecasting with regression model
Topic 10. Forecasting with confidence interval
Practical classes Topic 1. Introduction to economic forecasting
Topic 2. Forecasting based on analytical indicators of time series
Topic 3. Forecasting based on average methods
Topic 4. Trend forecasting
Topic 5. Trend forecast estimation
Topic 6. Forecasting with seasonality
Topic 7. Simple exponential smoothing method
Topic 8. Double exponential smoothing method
Topic 9. Forecasting with regression model
Topic 10. Forecasting with confidence interval
Assessment criteria
Module 1 - 20
Module 2 - 20
Assignments - 35
Credit test - 25 
Recommended reading list. Subject Resources
1. G. Elliott, C.W.J. Granger and A. Timmermann Handbook of economic forecasting. – 2016. – 1012 p.
2. Nicolas Carnot, Vincent Koen, Bruno Tissot. Economic Forecasting and Policy. – 2014. – 416 p.
3. Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry A. Companion to Economic Forecasting. – 2014. – 300 p.
4. John H. Cochrane. Time Series for Macroeconomics and Finance. – 2015. – 135 p.
5. Samprit Chatterjee, Jeffrey S. Simonoff. Handbook of Regression Analysis. – 2013. – 240 p.
6. Daryl S. Paulson. Handbook of Regression and Modelling: Applications for the Clinical and Pharmaceutical Industries. – 2016. – 420 p.
7. Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry. The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting. – 2011. – 624 p. 
Course author
Cand. Sc., Assoc. Prof. Кужда Тетяна Іванівна 
Дата останнього оновлення: 2020-11-04 18:57:31